Are you on the right side of United States Adp Employment Change news event?

Based on the last 12 Adp Employment Change events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 09 Jan 00:15 if the released value is < 160K. A price movement of 71 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

02 Oct 22:15
05 Jun 22:15
03 Apr 23:15
07 Mar 00:15