Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in United States, EURUSD could experience an downwards trend. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this, and the trend could last 2 hours because the released value is < $-107B. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

05 Apr 22:30	09 Mar 00:30
07 Jan 00:30	05 Oct 23:30
05 Aug 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).