Are you on the right side of United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event?

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 05 Mar 13:30 if the released value is < 1733K. A price movement of 21 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jan 13:30
23 Jan 13:30
16 Jan 13:30
12 Dec 13:30