Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 22 Oct 23:30 if the released value is < 9500K. A price movement of 23 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Oct 23:30	08 Oct 23:30
01 Oct 22:30	03 Sep 22:30
20 Aug 22:30	13 Aug 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).