Are you on the right side of United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event?

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards for 48 hours because the released value is < 5200K. A price movement of 55 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Dec 00:30
20 Nov 00:30
13 Nov 00:30
22 Oct 23:30
15 Oct 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).