Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 70% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 12 Feb 00:30 if the released value is < 4490K. A price movement of 81 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jan 00:30	15 Jan 00:30
01 Jan 00:30	24 Dec 00:30
18 Dec 00:30	04 Dec 00:30
20 Nov 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).