Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 05 Mar 00:30 if the released value is < 4300K. A price movement of 130 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

26 Feb 00:30	19 Feb 00:30
12 Feb 00:30	05 Feb 00:30
22 Jan 00:30	08 Jan 00:30
01 Jan 00:30	18 Dec 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).