Are you on the right side of United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event?

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 03 Jun 22:30 if the released value is < 3615K. A price movement of 55 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 May 22:30
12 Mar 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).