Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 04 Feb 00:30 if the released value is < 1620K. A price movement of 52 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Jan 00:30	31 Dec 00:30
17 Dec 00:30	03 Dec 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).