Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 04 Mar 00:30 if the released value is > 1475K. A price movement of 35 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Feb 00:30	04 Feb 00:30
21 Jan 00:30	07 Jan 00:30
24 Dec 00:30	10 Dec 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).