Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, USDJPY could trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. If the released value is > 1315K we could see USDJPY trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Jun 22:30.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

09 Jun 22:30	26 May 22:30
28 Apr 22:30	07 Apr 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).