Are you on the right side of United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event?

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2023-02-03 00:30 if the released value is < 1677K. A price movement of 46 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Jan 00:30
06 Jan 00:30
23 Dec 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).