Are you on the right side of United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event?

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend downwards. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards for 4 hours because the released value is < 16720K. A price movement of 12 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

23 Jul 22:30
16 Jul 22:30
25 Jun 22:30
28 May 22:30
14 May 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).