Are you on the right side of United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event?

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 08 Oct 12:30 if the released value is < 11400K. A price movement of 15 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Sep 12:30
13 Aug 12:30
06 Aug 12:30
16 Jul 12:30