Are you on the right side of United States Fed Interest Rate Decision news event?

Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect USDCAD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect USDCAD to trend upwards 48 hours following the event release at 16 Dec 06:00 if the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 248 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Nov 05:00
17 Jun 04:00
18 Mar 05:00
28 Jan 06:00
17 Dec 06:00
17 Sep 04:00
30 Jul 04:00
11 Jun 04:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).