Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards for 4 hours because the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 56 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Apr 04:00	18 Mar 05:00
17 Dec 06:00	30 Jul 04:00
30 Apr 04:00	30 Jan 06:00
12 Dec 06:00	31 Oct 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).