Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 12 May 22:30 if the released value is < 3.6%. A price movement of 16 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Feb 00:30	10 Jun 22:30
12 May 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).