Are you on the right side of United States ISM Manufacturing PMI news event?

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 01 Feb 15:00 if the released value is > 57.5. A price movement of 20 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Nov 14:00
01 Oct 14:00
01 Sep 14:00
01 Jun 14:00
01 Apr 14:00
01 Mar 15:00