Are you on the right side of United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel news event?

Based on the last 12 Michigan Consumer Sentiment Prel events in United States, we expect NZDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect NZDUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 14 Aug 00:00 if the released value is < 81.2. A price movement of 18 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Jul 00:00
15 May 00:00
17 Apr 00:00
16 Jan 02:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).