Are you on the right side of United States New Home Sales news event?

Based on the last 12 New Home Sales events in United States, we expect C to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect C to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 23 Dec 15:00 if the released value is < 0.77M. A price movement of 950 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Nov 15:00
23 Jun 14:00
25 May 14:00
23 Mar 14:00