Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, NZDUSD could trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. If the released value is > 325K we could see NZDUSD trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 03 Jun 22:30.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 May 22:30	05 Mar 00:30
05 Feb 00:30	05 Nov 23:30
06 Aug 22:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).