Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards for 4 hours because the released value is < 400K. A price movement of 64 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

04 Dec 00:30	03 Sep 22:30
04 Jun 22:30	07 May 22:30
06 Feb 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).