Are you on the right side of United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index news event?

Based on the last 12 Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards for 2 hours because the released value is < -41.5. A price movement of 157 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

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17 Oct 12:30