Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United States, we expect USDCHF to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDCHF to trend upwards for 4 hours because the released value is < 0.2%. A price movement of 44 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Dec 00:30	14 Jun 22:30
15 May 22:30	01 Apr 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).