Are you on the right side of United States Retail Sales MoM news event?

Based on past United States Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 83.33% chance of USDCAD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 0%. A price movement of 41 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Aug 12:30
14 Apr 12:30
16 Mar 12:30
14 Jan 13:30
15 Dec 13:30