AUDUSD may trend downwards from 16 Sep 12:30

We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < -0.8%. A price movement of 45 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Aug 12:30
15 Jun 12:30
15 Jan 13:30
16 Dec 13:30
17 Nov 13:30
16 Sep 12:30