We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past Japan Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < ¥250B. A price movement of 27 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

19 Jul 23:50

20 May 23:50

19 Apr 23:50

19 Nov 23:50