We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Fed Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0.25%. A price movement of 191 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Jun 04:00	30 Apr 04:00
30 Jan 06:00	12 Dec 06:00
19 Sep 04:00	01 Aug 04:00
02 May 04:00	21 Mar 05:00
20 Dec 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).