We expect a $220 movement on AUDUSD within 12 hours following the release of Inflation Rate YoY at 18 Mar 23:30. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 18 Mar 23:30 if the released value is > 2.1%. A price movement of 22 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Feb 00:30	21 Aug 22:30
22 Mar 23:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).