Category Archives

38 pip movement on AUDUSD expected

Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2022-07-08 22:30 if the released value is > 268K. A price movement of 38 pips…

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49 pip movement on USDCHF expected

Based on past Canada Ivey PMI s.a news events there is a 75% chance of USDCHF trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 64. A price movement of 49 pips is expected.Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion07 May 00:0007 Aug 00:0005 Jun 00:00 All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming…

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Are you on the right side of United States Continuing Jobless Claims news event?

Based on the last 12 Continuing Jobless Claims events in United States, we expect a 259 pip movement on USDCAD within 48 hours following the event release at 2022-07-07 22:30. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2022-07-07 22:30 if the released value is > 1327KHistorical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion16…

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87.5% probability that GBPUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on past Australia Balance of Trade news events there is a 87.5% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > A$10.725B. A price movement of 26 pips is expected.Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion02 Jun 11:3005 May 11:3003 Mar 11:3002 Dec 11:3004 Nov 11:3005 Oct 11:3005 Aug 11:30…

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70% probability that USDCHF may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Germany, USDCHF may trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 70% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < €1.2BHistorical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion04 Mar 18:0009 Feb 18:0007 Jan 18:0009 Nov 18:0008 Oct 17:0009…

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United States ISM Manufacturing PMI News Event – a possible $580 opportunity on GBPUSD

We could see a $580 movement on GBPUSD within the next 4 hours. GBPUSD could trend downwards 4 hours following the ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States release because the released value is < 54.9. We may experience a price movement of 58 pips.Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion03 May 00:0002 Apr 01:0005 Jan 02:0002 Jul…

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66.67% probability that AUDUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Tankan Large Manufacturers Index events in Japan, AUDUSD may trend downwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 13Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion13 Dec 10:5001 Jul 09:5013 Dec 10:5001 Jul 09:50 All…

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66.67% probability that USDCHF may trend upwards

Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Japan, USDCHF may trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is > 2.5%Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion04 Mar 10:3029 Jun 09:30 All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot…

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