Category Archives

113 pip movement on USDCAD expected

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect a 113 pip movement on USDCAD within 2 hours following the event release at 28 Jul 22:30 GMT+10. We expect USDCAD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 28 Jul 22:30 GMT+10 if the released value is < 3.2%Historical events that allowed us to…

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Trade with an edge around todays United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news event

Based on past United States Durable Goods Orders MoM news events there is a 66.67% chance of NZDUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 2.1%. A price movement of 40 pips is expected.Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion25 Sep 22:30 All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot…

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75% probability that GBPUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 New Home Sales events in United States, we expect GBPUSD to trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 0.8MHistorical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion24 Jun 00:0024 Mar 01:0029 Jan 02:00 All…

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75% probability that EURUSD may trend downwards right now

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 102.1Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion26 Apr 18:0025 Jan 20:0026 Oct 20:00 All references…

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Trade with an edge around todays United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news event

Based on past United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence news events there is a 85.71% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > -8. A price movement of 11 pips is expected.Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion21 May 09:0119 Mar 11:0119 Feb 11:0122 Jan 11:0118 Dec 11:0125 Sep 09:01 All…

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Give yourself an unfair advantage trading EURUSD right now…

Based on the last 12 Existing Home Sales events in United States, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. This may happen because the released value is < 5.9MHistorical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion22 May 00:0023 Apr 00:0023 Dec 02:0023 Jul 00:00 All references…

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Trade with an edge around todays Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news event

Based on past Euro Area ECB Interest Rate Decision news events there is a 66.67% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is = 0%. A price movement of 339 pips is expected.Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion11 Mar 23:4521 Jan 23:4529 Oct 23:4510 Sep 21:4530 Apr 21:4512 Mar 23:4523…

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AUDUSD may trend upwards right now

We expect AUDUSD to trend upwards for the next 12 hours. Based on these past Japan Balance of Trade news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < ¥460B. A price movement of 20 pips is expected.Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion16 Jun 09:5021 Jan 10:5016…

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