DELKOS 70% probability that USDCAD will trend down on Thursday 11 Feb at 01:30 PM GMT if the US Continuing Jobless Claims number is less than 4490K.

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This Thursday 11 Feb at 01:30 PM GMT the latest US Continuing Jobless Claims number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 70% probability that USDCAD will trend down following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Continuing Jobless Claims events, in which 7 of the last 10 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of USDCAD.

Here are images of the past events:

Thursday 28 Jan at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 21 Jan at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 14 Jan at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 31 Dec at 01:30 PM GMT:

Wednesday 23 Dec at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 03 Dec at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 19 Nov at 01:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance