DELKOS 71.42% probability that AUDUSD will trend up on Wednesday 04 Nov at 12:30 AM GMT if the AU Retail Sales MoM Final number is greater than -1.5%.

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This Wednesday 04 Nov at 12:30 AM GMT the latest AU Retail Sales MoM Final number will be released.
If the number is greater than than economists’ consensus there is a 71.42% probability that AUDUSD will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 AU Retail Sales MoM Final events, in which 4 of the last 7 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of AUDUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Tuesday 04 Aug at 01:30 AM GMT:

Friday 03 Jul at 01:30 AM GMT:

Wednesday 06 May at 01:30 AM GMT:

Friday 03 Apr at 12:30 AM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance