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This Tuesday 15 Dec at 11:50 PM GMT the latest JP Balance of Trade number will be released.
If the number is greater than than economists’ consensus there is a 71.42% probability that USDJPY will trend down following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 JP Balance of Trade events, in which 5 of the last 7 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of USDJPY.

Here are images of the past events:

Tuesday 17 Nov at 11:50 PM GMT:

Tuesday 15 Sep at 11:50 PM GMT:

Tuesday 16 Jun at 11:50 PM GMT:

Tuesday 17 Mar at 11:50 PM GMT:

Tuesday 17 Dec at 11:50 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance