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This Tuesday 04 May at 12:30 PM GMT the latest US Balance of Trade number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 72.72% probability that GBPUSD will trend down following the news event.
This probability is based on the last 12 US Balance of Trade events, in which 8 of the last 11 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of GBPUSD.
Here are images of the past events:
Wednesday 07 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT:
Thursday 07 Jan at 01:30 PM GMT:
Wednesday 04 Nov at 01:30 PM GMT:
Tuesday 06 Oct at 12:30 PM GMT:
Thursday 03 Sep at 12:30 PM GMT:
Wednesday 05 Aug at 12:30 PM GMT:
Thursday 02 Jul at 12:30 PM GMT:
Tuesday 05 May at 12:30 PM GMT:
Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance