DELKOS 75% probability that EURUSD will trend up on Wednesday 01 Jul at 02:00 PM GMT if the US ISM Manufacturing PMI number is greater than 49.5.

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This Wednesday 01 Jul at 02:00 PM GMT the latest US ISM Manufacturing PMI number will be released.
If the number is greater than than economists’ consensus there is a 75% probability that EURUSD will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US ISM Manufacturing PMI events, in which 3 of the last 4 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of EURUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Friday 01 May at 02:00 PM GMT:

Wednesday 01 Apr at 02:00 PM GMT:

Monday 03 Feb at 03:00 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance