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This Thursday 20 May at 11:01 PM GMT the latest GB Gfk Consumer Confidence number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 75% probability that GBPUSD will trend up following the news event.
This probability is based on the last 12 GB Gfk Consumer Confidence events, in which 3 of the last 4 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of GBPUSD.
Here are images of the past events:
Thursday 22 Apr at 11:01 PM GMT:
Thursday 20 Aug at 11:01 PM GMT:
Thursday 23 Jul at 11:01 PM GMT:
Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance