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This Friday 24 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT the latest US Durable Goods Orders MoM number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 75% probability that UB will trend down following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Durable Goods Orders MoM events, in which 3 of the last 4 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of UB.

Here are images of the past events:

Monday 23 Dec at 01:30 PM GMT:

Wednesday 26 Jun at 12:30 PM GMT:

Friday 24 May at 12:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance