DELKOS 75% probability that USDJPY will trend down on Thursday 29 Oct at 12:30 PM GMT if the US Continuing Jobless Claims number is greater than 7700K.

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This Thursday 29 Oct at 12:30 PM GMT the latest US Continuing Jobless Claims number will be released.
If the number is greater than than economists’ consensus there is a 75% probability that USDJPY will trend down following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Continuing Jobless Claims events, in which 3 of the last 3 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of USDJPY.

Here are images of the past events:

Thursday 24 Sep at 12:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 10 Sep at 12:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 27 Aug at 12:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance