DELKOS 77.77% probability that GBPUSD will trend down on Monday 05 Oct at 02:00 PM GMT if the US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI number is greater than 56.3.

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This Monday 05 Oct at 02:00 PM GMT the latest US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI number will be released.
If the number is greater than than economists’ consensus there is a 77.77% probability that GBPUSD will trend down following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI events, in which 5 of the last 9 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of GBPUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Wednesday 05 Aug at 02:00 PM GMT:

Monday 06 Jul at 02:00 PM GMT:

Tuesday 05 May at 02:00 PM GMT:

Friday 03 Apr at 02:00 PM GMT:

Tuesday 05 Nov at 03:00 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance