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This Thursday 13 May at 12:30 PM GMT the latest US Continuing Jobless Claims number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 80% probability that EURUSD will trend down following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Continuing Jobless Claims events, in which 4 of the last 5 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of EURUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Thursday 25 Mar at 12:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 11 Mar at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 04 Mar at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 18 Feb at 01:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance