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This Friday 14 Aug at 12:30 PM GMT the latest US Retail Sales MoM number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 80% probability that EURUSD will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Retail Sales MoM events, in which 4 of the last 5 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of EURUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Friday 15 May at 12:30 PM GMT:

Wednesday 15 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT:

Tuesday 17 Mar at 12:30 PM GMT:

Wednesday 16 Oct at 12:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance