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This Thursday 16 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT the latest US Housing Starts number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 80% probability that EURUSD will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Housing Starts events, in which 4 of the last 5 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of EURUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Thursday 17 Oct at 12:30 PM GMT:

Friday 16 Aug at 12:30 PM GMT:

Wednesday 17 Jul at 12:30 PM GMT:

Friday 19 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance