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This Tuesday 05 May at 12:30 PM GMT the latest US Balance of Trade number will be released.
If the number is greater than than economists’ consensus there is a 80% probability that GC will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Balance of Trade events, in which 4 of the last 5 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of GC.

Here are images of the past events:

Thursday 02 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT:

Tuesday 07 Jan at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 05 Dec at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 09 May at 12:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance