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This Sunday 19 Apr at 11:50 PM GMT the latest JP Balance of Trade number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 80% probability that USDJPY will trend down following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 JP Balance of Trade events, in which 4 of the last 5 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of USDJPY.

Here are images of the past events:

Wednesday 22 Jan at 11:50 PM GMT:

Tuesday 19 Nov at 11:50 PM GMT:

Sunday 18 Aug at 11:50 PM GMT:

Tuesday 21 May at 11:50 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance