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This Tuesday 18 Aug at 11:50 PM GMT the latest JP Balance of Trade number will be released.
If the number is greater than than economists’ consensus there is a 80% probability that USDJPY will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 JP Balance of Trade events, in which 2 of the last 5 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of USDJPY.

Here are images of the past events:

Tuesday 18 Feb at 11:50 PM GMT:

Tuesday 17 Sep at 11:50 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance