DELKOS 83.33% probability that EURUSD will trend down on Thursday 18 Jun at 12:30 PM GMT if the US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index number is greater than -23.

[Add to iCal Calendar]  [Add to Google Calendar]

This Thursday 18 Jun at 12:30 PM GMT the latest US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index number will be released.
If the number is greater than than economists’ consensus there is a 83.33% probability that EURUSD will trend down following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index events, in which 5 of the last 6 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an down trend of EURUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Thursday 20 Feb at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 16 Jan at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 21 Nov at 01:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 19 Sep at 12:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 15 Aug at 12:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance