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This Thursday 02 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT the latest US Balance of Trade number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 83.33% probability that EURUSD will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Balance of Trade events, in which 5 of the last 6 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of EURUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Friday 04 Oct at 12:30 PM GMT:

Wednesday 04 Sep at 12:30 PM GMT:

Friday 02 Aug at 12:30 PM GMT:

Wednesday 03 Jul at 12:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 06 Jun at 12:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance