DELKOS 83.33% probability that GBPUSD will trend up on Tuesday 20 Jul at 12:30 PM GMT if the US Housing Starts number is greater than 1.59M.

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This Tuesday 20 Jul at 12:30 PM GMT the latest US Housing Starts number will be released.
If the number is greater than than economists’ consensus there is a 83.33% probability that GBPUSD will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US Housing Starts events, in which 5 of the last 6 events where the actual number was greater than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of GBPUSD.

Here are images of the past events:

Friday 16 Apr at 12:30 PM GMT:

Thursday 17 Dec at 01:30 PM GMT:

Wednesday 18 Nov at 01:30 PM GMT:

Tuesday 18 Aug at 12:30 PM GMT:

Friday 17 Jul at 12:30 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance