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This Wednesday 04 Aug at 02:00 PM GMT the latest US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI number will be released.
If the number is less than than economists’ consensus there is a 83.33% probability that UB will trend up following the news event.

This probability is based on the last 12 US ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI events, in which 5 of the last 6 events where the actual number was less than than the economist consensus resulted in an up trend of UB.

Here are images of the past events:

Tuesday 06 Jul at 02:00 PM GMT:

Wednesday 05 May at 02:00 PM GMT:

Wednesday 03 Mar at 03:00 PM GMT:

Thursday 03 Dec at 03:00 PM GMT:

Thursday 03 Sep at 02:00 PM GMT:

Disclaimer: Past performance may not be indicative of future performance